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“Whether SpaceX can get there is really a moonshot,” says Jack Ciesielski, one of America’s leading accounting experts. “It’s anybody’s guess how big the space industry will become in the future.” SpaceX could get there. But it would need two things: an extremely fast-growing market, and significant monopoly power. It already faces a number of smaller competitors, including Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin. SpaceX’s best chance is developing a huge lead that gives it economies of scale in rocket production that no competitor can match.